Keisuke Saitoh vs Koki Matsuda Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does Matsuda's recent second serve performance compare to Saitoh's? Matsuda has a slight edge, winning 42.84% of points compared to Saitoh's 41.89%.
• In terms of return game strengths, Matsuda leads by winning 44.99% of second serve return points, while Saitoh wins 43.68%. On first serves, Matsuda wins 27.56%, higher than Saitoh's 25.73%.
• When facing breakpoints, Matsuda has saved 50.41%, just narrowly outperforming Saitoh who has saved 49.53%.
• Looking at overall performance in the past year, Matsuda has a significant advantage, securing victories in 73.21% of his matches, while Saitoh has a win rate of 41.46%.
• What are their best performing surfaces? Matsuda excels on indoor hard courts with a 79% win rate, while this is Saitoh's weakest surface at 43%. Conversely, Saitoh is better on clay with a 55% win rate, compared to Matsuda's 39%.
• Both players have mostly participated in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K in the past year, with Matsuda demonstrating superior performance, winning 73.21% of his matches, compared to Saitoh's 50% win rate.
• The strength of opponents faced is similar, with Matsuda's opponents averaging a rank of 376.34 and Saitoh's at 375.37.
• If the match extends into a deciding set, Saitoh has an advantage, winning 71% of such sets, whereas Matsuda has won 64%.
• Regarding breakpoint conversion, Matsuda again leads with 33.11%, while Saitoh converts 29.67% of opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (September 17, 2025, UTC):

In evaluating the upcoming tennis match between Matsuda and Saitoh, several key factors suggest favor towards Matsuda. His superior recent performances in both second serve winning percentage and return game point conversions indicate a slight edge over Saitoh.

Although both players have shown resilience and ability to handle pressure with their breakpoint saving percentages, Matsuda's higher overall match win rate and better record in the past year further bolster his predicted likelihood of securing a victory.

Despite Saitoh's strength in deciding sets and clay matches, Matsuda's consistent performance on indoor hard courts and successful conversions against top opponents make him the more formidable contender.

Therefore, based on these statistical insights, Matsuda is favored to win in this matchup with Saitoh.